Webinar on Risk Guidance

Tidge

Trusted Information Resource
What criteria would you use to know if a risk assessment was successful?

I've certainly witnessed plenty of projects in the planning phase where it was obvious that a project's risk assessment was meaningless. I write this based of what those projects' risk assessments concluded: The project needs no risk controls of any type, because
  • we don't believe any of those risks (because that's "stinkin thinkin"!)
  • we "monitor" risk (and magically avoid or somehow instantly suppress it?)
  • we don't have the budget for risk controls
I've heard the second bullet point so very often and it always causes my eyes to roll. Rarely are the actual metrics called out for "monitoring", and even then there ought to be a plan for what will happen should the alarm go off. (*1) Each time I saw those same conclusions I wondered why even bother doing a risk assessment.

Post-hoc, it is trivial to objectively determine that a project's risk assessment was inferior.

(*1) trying to tie back to the actual video... I've seen poorly managed companies that also could not recognize opportunities, even distinct from a "risk management" concept. I suppose if the video got such companies to recognize that opportunities are not themselves risks there could be some value, but honestly those diagrams would would probably just send the executives on a 8-month retreat trying to weaponize them as process flow charts.
 

Bev D

Heretical Statistician
Leader
Super Moderator
…Post-hoc, it is trivial to objectively determine that a project's risk assessment was inferior.
Well it matters how post hoc the assessment is. If there is still time to alter the control plan then that is not trivial. If we can also address and improve the process/people/management that allowed or enabled a poor risk assessment then that is also not trivial..done lots of that with great success although the latter can take a few years. Which is why post launch assessment (very post hoc) can be extremely useful to objectively demonstrate the need and benefits of robust risk assessment.

On another note: I was so famous for the ‘eye roll’ that my team got several screen captures during the pandemic of my eye rolling and used them in my retirement celebration… :rolleyes:
 
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